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Live market observatory

Signals worth examining.
Noise held back.

Read-only observations from independent prediction-market venues. Priority view suppresses thin contracts and groups related outcomes; search and All contracts expose up to the top 500 current normalized contracts.

Information and research only.Market prices are observations, not Tomlinson forecasts or recommendations. Data may be delayed, incomplete, or revised. No trades or wagers are executed.

Source status

Provider health

500 searchable active records · 13 expired excluded · no simulated fallbacks
Polymarket
Live

55 current normalized market records available

ATLAS-POLY-001
Kalshi
Live

100 current normalized market records available

ATLAS-KALSHI-001
PredictIt
Near-live

345 current normalized market records available

ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001

Cross-venue monitor

Observed market signals

175 results

Activity floor + one leader per event
PredictItPoliticsNear-live

How many House and Senate seats will Dems control after the 2026 midterms? — ≤47 and ≤217

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

9 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price8%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
8% / 9%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

How many House seats will Republicans win in the 2026 midterm election? — 192 or fewer

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

10 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price24%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
23% / 24%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

How many Senate seats will the GOP control after the 2026 midterms? — 48

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

10 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price18%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
18% / 19%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

What will be the balance of power in Congress after the 2026 election? — Dem. House & Senate

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

2 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price52%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
52% / 53%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItOtherNear-live

What will be the national vote margin in the 2026 House midterms? — Republicans 0-3%

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

7 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price2%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
2% / 3%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItOtherNear-live

When will the House impeach Trump again? — Before 2027

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

5 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price3%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
2% / 3%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

Which 2026 Senate race will be the closest? — Iowa

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

4 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price19%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
18% / 19%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItOtherNear-live

Which of these Democratic candidates will announce a 2028 POTUS run first? — Gretchen Whitmer

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

8 related outcomes grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price3%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
3% / 4%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

Which office will AOC announce a run for by the end of 2027? — President

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

1 related outcome grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price64%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
63% / 64%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

Which party will control the Senate after the 2026 election? — Democratic

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

1 related outcome grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price52%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
52% / 53%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Maryland? — Republican

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

1 related outcome grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price2%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
2% / 3%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.

PredictItPoliticsNear-live

Which party will win the 2026 election for governor of Massachusetts? — Republican

The market is open and currently supplies a usable probability observation.

1 related outcome grouped in Priority view.

Set alert Beta Investigate Open source ATLAS-PREDICTIT-001
Observed price5%Not suppliedActive market
Bid / ask
3% / 4%
Spread
1.0 pts
24H volume
Not supplied
Liquidity
Not supplied
Closes
Not supplied
Field coverage
limited fields
Participation quality
unavailable
Movement history
unavailable
Cross-venue match
not assessed

Reliability contextPredictIt does not provide the same streaming activity and depth fields as the other venues; this record is labeled near-live.